Rug Risk Index

Rug Risk Index: October 2026

Frozen 01 Nov 2026 02:51 UTC · methodology v1.0 · CSV · how it is computed · agent accuracy

Launch Radar data starts on 02 Oct 2026; earlier days of October 2026 are not covered.

Promoted Solana launches

Tokens from DexScreener's new-profile and boost lists that reached $10K liquidity and $5K daily volume within 7 days of launch. Promoted launches only, not every token created.

Tracked
2,474
Risk score 50+ (RugCheck)
7% (169 of 2,414)

Share of the tokens RugCheck checked. Latest score, not the score at launch.

Risk score 75+ (RugCheck)
0.9% (22 of 2,414)
Wash-trading pattern
14.7% (363 of 2,474)

Volume over 50× the pool, or $100K+ from under 50 trades.

60 tracked tokens were never checked by RugCheck and are left out of the risk shares.

RugCheck risk scores, October 2026. Number of checked tokens in each RugCheck risk-score range (0 = no issues found, 100 = highest risk).
  • Score 0–192,049
  • Score 20–39155
  • Score 40–59123
  • Score 60–7974
  • Score 80–10013

Most common RugCheck findings

Most common RugCheck danger and warning findings. Number of tracked tokens with each finding.
  • Single holder ownership176
  • Low Liquidity100
  • Large Amount of LP Unlocked76
  • High holder concentration69
  • Creator history of rugged tokens61
  • Copycat token60
  • Top 10 holders high ownership58
  • Low amount of LP Providers33

What happened after ARC AI's warnings

Our Sentinel agent warns about risky tokens that can be traded. Each warning is checked 24–48 hours later against the pool's liquidity and price at the moment of the warning: 3,894 tokens checked this month, one result per token. There is no comparison group: this shows what followed a warning, not how warned tokens compare with others.

Lost 50%+ of liquidity or price, or the pool died
91.5% (1,773 of 1,938)

Of the 1938 warnings with a clear result.

Held 70%+ (warning wrong)
8.5% (165 of 1,938)
Mint authority open at warning
39% (1,517 of 3,894)
Freeze authority open at warning
16.4% (640 of 3,894)

1,956 were in between or lacked data and count as neither. A further 500 warnings repeated a token already checked and are not counted again.

72 hours after launch

Liquidity under 50% locked at first sight
15.3% (106 of 695)

Tokens first seen within 6h of launch: 737.

Lost 50%+ of liquidity, or the pool died, by 72h
67.6% (332 of 491)

246 tokens first seen in the last 3 days are left out: they had not had 72 hours yet.

Median liquidity kept at 72h
86.9%

Cite or embed

Free to quote with a link. Paste this into a page or article:

<p>Source: <a href="https://arcai.io/data/rug-risk-index/2026-10">ARC AI Rug Risk Index, October 2026</a> — 7% of 2,414 RugCheck-checked promoted Solana launches scored 50+ risk.</p>